Here’s my predictions for the LD30 top 10th percentile, as part of my ongoing pet project to use machine learning to predict ratings from comments (first post, code).  These entries are predicted to be in the top 10th percentile based on Overall score, using only words in the comments (adjectives and adverbs) that were predicted using K-nearest neighbour classification based on a model trained with LD15-LD28 comments and scores. I’ve split them up into compo and jam, but the underlying model is trained on all comments combined (which may or may not be a good idea). Here we go:

LD30 Compo predictions, ranked ~149th or better (208 total):

meeech, b5cully, hectormorlet, Ludorverr, Xaychru04, ENDESGA, teoacosta, 7Soul, Corné Dorrestijn, mactinite, Peping, headchant, bentog, Managore, Sanguine, Ping78, plash, muriel, Lord Draficus, InfamousIntellectual, EMAK, ReactorScram, brokenbeach, egor-idiot, NostraDamon, Kiwiboi, Conk, MerlijnVH, Domantas, Aru Nyan, Robinerd, Fanatrick, commanderstitch, gillenew, Logan, JetL33t, TheMorfeus, pusheax, PaperBlurt, pythong, StrideWide, Joe Williamson, 01010111, NiceAlexanderAS, pinkmonkeyhead, vinhuman, manabreak, ShaunJS, MagnesiumNinja, CRAZEERUSKEE, hungyg, xviniette, thedeadlybutter, Hozar, ice cold muffin, AdventureIslands, Tom 7, varun, DJWizardCop, From Smiling, Jaloko, Dietrich Epp, Bronaldplo, atomic_swerve, Skills641, primaerfunktion, SteveSalmond, Cherno, MintArcade, Steve, nonetheless, Cell, jurnacsr, Donar, Hypnohustla, Lvyn, neosam, Digiraze, ncannasse, bazld, Jace_Fyrestorm, Aaants, Bernte, JaJ, bigbadwofl, siat, remmy, Gareth Jenkins, sockfolder, Kavehes, jellonator, Ditto, anserran, Miziziziz, alastairbreeze, EndingChaos, smizmeal, jwin, rooter4, renatopp, Josh H, badlydrawnrod, Lyszie, tillrobby, DragonXVI, suve, rynti, khahem, Ellian, cardboard, Draknek, pirate-rob, Damian Schloter, TobiasW, Lars-Kristian, Pat AfterMoon, Nuclear Napalm, yodamaster, ratking, Turkey, duncankeller, lectvs, Alexandre Szybiak, Sequenceko, pfeyffer, boddiul, Otopkin, 0x0961h, Xgor, Ervin, markusfisch, elliottd, pekuja, Jellycakes, Nanofus, gardenhead, esayitch, jimmymcmillan, Healthire, Vandash, Inateno, v23v, Silveryard, zillix, GreenyUk, TrickFishPie, zatyka, HawkSandwich, ShadowStryker, jahlgren, vicious_br, eatsleepindie, rubna, Lazdo, synchingfeeling, technocf, cleitoneldorn, ianh, SaintHeiser, lucienpro, MRvanderPants, Zylann, Jogy34, MentaL13, Larzan, frosty, Jake Coxon, TautNerve, deepnight, PapaCheech, Krimble, FurtherForm, tatmos, BuffaloPhil, hate-marina, donut345, Split82, kaitokidi, vandriver, Namide, Kedume Bits, diamondgfx, modbox, Gaeel, Andrew Shouldice, KingBolonzo, Martins, Whoosy, Teesquared, simonnaus, PixelMind, xrm0, Laralyn, AdamHarte, NickZangus, BinRoot, Jezzamon, invi, kebabskal, Josh Riley, whalebot, Pirate Hearts, shimage, OnlySlightly, nesis, capsizedmoose, meishijie, AncientAvocado

LD30 Jam predictions, ranked ~106th or better (169 total):

Finlal, Cryunreal, stasss, SecondDimension, Animefrikis, catchthefloaty, Talvara, danbo, jgthespy, Cad, PaperboxStudios, Cryovat, dustyroom, mtrc, McFunkypants, Liz England, phasebeta, BoaHeck_ArtGent, Andrew Adams, OrangeeZ, MicroChasm, Yword, bytegrove, AtomicVikings, rogueNoodle, chrupp, Vidd, Allchimik, TGL, hadesfury, riv_roy, Evil Scotsman, RhythmLynx, commodoreKid, oakus, sandbaydev, InfectionTeam, IsaacL.Balogh, leafo, bluemaroo3, Creative Sectors, RawboSaurX, Spang, Magdev, Stals, TeamEagle, kristof, Shide, Oxeren, SkyWolf, borgi, Wertle, ix, ponk, Squidtank, chas, jimmypaulin, mysterycjgamer, sprawl, Matt Thorson, ColdBrain, danidre14, mechabit, tove, Dayko, orbitantlers, Zathnic, Robotic, PowerSpark, ZYXer, Will Edwards, Ted Brown, radmars, Two Scoop Games, Bognet Team, Seraphic Media, SoulGame, gnx, Cheesefork, pokepetter, Fre, 3CGames, graebor, Razoric, reecpj, hbocao, oxysoft, bushmango, Once Upon a Team, Kojan, Yoni, braqoon, Robber, PillowPigGames, guimonpa, Follett, Floko, KevinZuhn, Oddly Shaped Pixels, Adam Thompson, Nooner Bear, LeafThief, Hemuuuli, spotco, jjhaggar, 01F0, akolokgame, leafarz, Patacorow, spolsh, Budda, Tesrym, ticlekiwi, RevoLab, Literal Games, akymos, Lianne Booton, 01101101, Carduus, rustybroomhandle, Volute, Cosrnos, dook, ExtreLime, ponywolf, GrooveMan, Thepattybeast, Schrodinger Games, Jon Fisch, Benjamin, NikB, OxyOxspring, Lissar, Danman9914, jordanbloemen, Crosstales, nerd burglars, brookman, RandomNameGenerator, Simplexcity, toinfiniityandbeyond, George, BradSmallPlanet, _Rilem, bluesky, villhest, samooJAM, popcorn897, imaginarymonsters, Snoother, sudorossy, Team Klappermann, Arakade, Slikker, Kerdelos, pansapiens, Raphy, goosetickler, Jean Phenix, MunkeeBacon, moomoo112, banana4life, TravisChen, liquidminduk, nataku92, stink123456, Traumendes_Madchen, BasmanovDaniil, Mase

Based on the previous real-world test, about half of these predictions should be correct.
If your name is here, chances are people made really positive comments on your entry, irrespective of where it finally ranks. My own view is that everyone who finishes a game is a winner – some just have a little more win than others

Tags: predictions